Polls Tighten in Homestretch of Canada’s Election
nytimes.comPublished: 4/26/2025
Summary
As Election Day approaches in Canada, uncertainty mounts over which party will secure victory as support for the Liberals has narrowed compared to their previous lead. Polls currently show a 42% to 39% advantage for the Liberals over the Conservatives, down from nearly seven percentage points earlier this campaign. Despite some polls indicating a closer race, analysts predict the Liberals are still poised to win, with the potential to secure more seats in Parliament than needed for government formation, much like how the Electoral College works in the U.S.—even if the national vote isn't tied, it could result in a majority of seats for the Liberals.