Peter Dutton’s preference call on One Nation could hurt Coalition in at-risk seats, strategists warn

Peter Dutton’s plan to list One Nation above Labor on how-to-vote cards could bolster Coalition support by legitimating the party but risks alienating metropolitan voters who prefer Labor. By restructuring vote cards in marginal seats like Hunter and Cowper, he aims to strengthen One Nation’s legitimacy while potentially weakening independents like Sue Gilroy. However, critics warn that voter pullback from Pauline Hanson’s rigid views could undermine One Nation’s efforts, with a Coalition strategist noting the strategy might not reliably bring back One Nation preferences. Meanwhile, One Nation supporters argue the approach offers an opportunity to win seats where Labor is vulnerable.